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                For example, in tossing two coins together, if getting exactly one tail is considered an event
                obtained, then the outcomes (TH) and (HT) are favourable outcomes of the event and the outcomes

                (HH) and (TT) are unfavourable outcomes of the event.
                Hence, getting HT or TH is called a favourable event or a successful event.

                Here, TH is a simple event and HT alone is also a simple event.

                Elementary and complementary events

                An elementary event (E) is a simple event that has a single outcome, while a complementary event

                is the non-occurrence of an event  E ( ) , i.e., two events are said to be complementary when one
                event occurs if and only if the other does not take place.

                If n(E) elementary events are favourable to an event E out of n(S) elementary events (where 0 ≤
                n(E) ≤ n(S)), then the complementary event or the number of elementary events ‘not E’ or  E ( )  is
                n(S) – n(E).

                Probability of an Event


                The probability of an event is a ratio that compares the number of favourable outcomes to the
                number of possible outcomes. The chance of happening an event is called probability. Let E be
                an event. Then, the probability of the event (E) is denoted by P(E) and is defined as follows:
                                                                 E
                         Number of favourable outcomes         n()
                                                                                    ≤
                P(E) =                                       =      ,  where 0 ≤  P(E) 1
                                                                 S
                        Total number of possiblle outcomes     n()
                The probability that an event will happen is somewhere between 0 and 1. It can be shown on a
                number line.

                                                                There is an equally
                                                               likely chance that the
                                                                event will happen
                                                         1   or 0.25  1   or 0.5  3  or 0.75

                                It is impossible   0     4         2        4           1      The event
                                for the event to                                              is certain to
                                   happen.                                                      happen
                                                 0%         25%       50%      75%     100%
                                                  Very unlikely Unlikely  Likely Very Likely

                In order to further strengthen our understanding of the concept of probability, let us deal with
                some examples.

                Example 8: A dice is thrown two times and the sum of the numbers                 2   3   4   5    6   7
                that appear on the dice is noted. Find the number of possible
                outcomes.                                                                        3   4   5   6    7   8
                                                                                                 4   5   6   7    8   9
                Solution: When a dice is thrown two times, the sum of the numbers
                that appear on the dice can be noted as follows.                                 5   6   7   8    9  10

                Thus, the possible outcomes, S =  {2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12}.          6   7   8   9   10 11
                 \                           n(S) =  11                                          7   8   9   10 11 12


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